Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises
1998/06/01 by Raymond S. Nickerson · 1 voice · 182 citations
Decision Sciences · Social Sciences · Psychology · #Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics #Social and Intergroup Psychology #Optimism, Hope, and Well-being
paper · doi:10.1037/1089-2680.2.2.175
Abstract
Confirmation bias, as the term is typically used in the psychological literature, connotes the seeking or interpreting of evidence in ways that are partial to existing beliefs, expectations, or a hypothesis in hand. The author reviews evidence of such a bias in a variety of guises and gives examples of its operation in several practical contexts. Possible explanations are considered, and the question of its utility or disutility is discussed.
Cited by
- A perspective on friction interventions to curb the spread of misinformation
- Targeting and/or tailoring?! A theoretical framework and its application to political social media advertising
- Expanding the social science of happiness
- The Role of Accelerator Designs in Mitigating Bounded Rationality in New Ventures
- A Network View of Advice-giving and Individual Creativity in Teams: A Brokerage-driven, Socially Perpetuated Phenomenon
- A manifesto for reproducible science
- Reducing bias, increasing transparency and calibrating confidence with preregistration
- The emotional arcs of stories are dominated by six basic shapes
- Children balance theories and evidence in exploration, explanation, and learning
- Measuring Unipolar Traits With Continuous Response Items: Some Methodological and Substantive Developments
- Threatened by science: Can affirmations alleviate motivated science rejection?
- On the probabilistic transmission of continuous cultural traits
- ‘Fake news’ is the invention of a liar: How false information circulates within the hybrid news system
- The diminishing halo effect: Celebrities and negative events in marketing
- Information Avoidance
- How digital media drive affective polarization through partisan sorting
- Spinning stories: Wind turbines and local narrative landscapes in Germany
- Mandevillian intelligence
- Can Confirmation Bias Improve Group Learning?
- Epistemic norms on evidence-gathering
- A Cognitive View of Policing
- Navigating the social world: Toward an integrated framework for evaluating self, individuals, and groups.
- Human Cooperation and the Crises of Climate Change, COVID-19, and Misinformation
- Epistemic Familiarity is Associated With Belief Stability in Large Language Models
- Understanding Fortunetelling with Large Language Models in China: User Practices, Perceptions, and Impacts on Beliefs and Decisions
- Quantifying the vulnerabilities of the online public square to adversarial manipulation tactics
- There must be an error here! Experimental evidence on coding errors' biases
- Technological folie à deux: Feedback Loops Between AI Chatbots and Mental Illness
- Social media and the spread of misinformation: infectious and a threat to public health
- Who Gets to Read What? Tracking, Instructional Practices, and Text Complexity for Middle School Struggling Readers
- Slopaganda: The interaction between propaganda and generative AI
- Boosting metacognition in entangled human-AI interaction to navigate cognitive-behavioral drift
- Thinking Hard, Thinking Smart: How News Users’ Cognitive Traits Guide Their Responses to Fact-Checks
- A very particular set of skills: The role of perspective‐taking in hostage diplomacy negotiations
- Replicability and transparency in physical therapy research: Time to wake up
- The Canary hotspot revisited: Refutation of the Hawaii paradigm and an alternative, plate-based hypothesis
- Single LLM Debate, MoLaCE: Mixture of Latent Concept Experts Against Confirmation Bias
- Dynamics of Public Opinion Evolution with Asymmetric Cognitive Bias
- The Case for Expanding the Domain of Registered Reports: Confronting Academic Dishonesty and Declining Confidence in Science
- Barriers to public engagement with biodiversity conservation
- Echo Chambers on Social Media: A comparative analysis
- Toward Parsimony in Bias Research: A Proposed Common Framework of Belief-Consistent Information Processing for a Set of Biases
- Intelligence Without Integrity: Why Capable LLMs May Undermine Reliability
- “My phone must be listening!”: Peoples’ surveillance beliefs around devices “listening” to offline conversations in the US, the Netherlands, and Poland
- To Switch or Not To Switch: Understanding Social Influence in Recommender Systems
- The i-frame and the s-frame: How focusing on individual-level solutions has led behavioral public policy astray
- Modeling Duelling Contagions of True and False Information in the Face of Inherent Individual biases
- Conspiracy thinking and belief in partisan conspiracy theories: A moderating effect of partisan congruence?
- Narrative Scaffolding: A Narrative-First Framework for Data-Driven Sensemaking
- Understanding Echo Chambers and Filter Bubbles: The Impact of Social Media on Diversification and Partisan Shifts in News Consumption
- Seeing is Believing: Effects of Uncivil Online Debate on Political Polarization and Expectations of Deliberation
- Martingale Score: An Unsupervised Metric for Bayesian Rationality in LLM Reasoning
- Seeing What We Want to See: Confirmation Bias in Animal Behavior Research
- Associations between myside bias on an informal reasoning task and amount of post‐secondary education
- On the Influence of Artificial Intelligence on Human Problem-Solving: Empirical Insights for the Third Wave in a Multinational Longitudinal Pilot Study
- Multidimensional Signals and Analytic Flexibility: Estimating Degrees of Freedom in Human-Speech Analyses
- A behavioural model of heuristics and biases in frontline policy implementation
- Maladaptive Decision-Making in Older Adults: Confirmation Bias and Financial Exploitation
- Back up or Backfire? The Impact of Human Rights Sanctions on Target Citizens’ Attitudes Toward Human Rights and Mobilizations
- Modeling confirmation bias and peer pressure in opinion dynamics
- Not every story has two sides: the effect of false balance on perceived scientific consensus about interrogation practices
- Metacognition and consciousness
- Blue skies and black boxes: The promise (and practice) of grounded theory in human resource management research
- Fake News Detection on Social Media: A Data Mining Perspective
- "He's guilty!": Investigator bias in judgments of truth and deception.
- Same score, different message: Perceptions of offender risk depend on Static-99R risk communication format.
- Political diversity will improve social psychological science
- Improving Police Officers’ Perceptions of Sexual Offending Through Intensive Training
- Toward a Philosophy of Error in Science
- Opinion polarization and its connected disagreement: Modeling and modulation
- Toward a General Framework of Biased Reasoning: Coherence-Based Reasoning
- Sharp as a Fox: Are foxnews.com Visitors Less Politically Knowledgeable?
- The news values of fake news
- Reconceptualizing nature‐of‐science education in the age of social media
- Do people better recognize inconsistencies in others’ moral judgments than their own? If so, why?
- Blending Truth and Lies: Using an Ethnographic Sensibility to Study Online Misinformation
- Known and Unknown Biases: A Framework for Contextualising and Identifying Bias in Animal Behaviour Research
- Threats of a replication crisis in empirical computer science
- How Memes Affect Constituents’ Social Approval and Intention to Support Firms
- Protecting against researcher bias in secondary data analysis: challenges and potential solutions
- To Evaluate the Age–Happiness Relationship, Look Beyond Statistical Significance
- Quality, reliability and misinformation in mental health and neurodivergence content on social media: a systematic review
- Predicting Activism for a Social Cause
- A Survey of Fake News: Fundamental Theories, Detection Methods, and Opportunities
- Public discourse and social network echo chambers driven by socio-cognitive biases
- Designing a Visualization Atlas: Lessons & Reflections from The UK Co-Benefits Atlas for Climate Mitigation
- Potential applications of Distributed Ledger Technology to the Defence Support Network
- Effects of Transparency on the Perceived Trustworthiness of a Government Organization: Evidence from an Online Experiment
- The liability of gender: the effect of gender stereotypes on financing gaps for social startups
- The computational roots of positivity and confirmation biases in reinforcement learning
- Culture and choice: Toward integrating cultural sociology with the judgment and decision-making sciences
- On making causal claims: A review and recommendations
- Belief in Hydroxychloroquine During the <scp>COVID</scp> ‐19 Pandemic: More Than Motivated Reasoning?
- A review of the effects of uncertainty in public science communication
- A Tutorial on Cognitive Biases in Agentic AI-Driven 6G Autonomous Networks
- When Your AI Agent Succumbs to Peer-Pressure: Studying Opinion-Change Dynamics of LLMs
- The role of large language models in self-care: a study and benchmark on medicines and supplement guidance accuracy
- Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?
- Teaching the nature of science through scientific errors
- Psychological Reactance to Anti-Piracy Messages explained by Gender and Attitudes
- GREAT: Generalizable Backdoor Attacks in RLHF via Emotion-Aware Trigger Synthesis
- Group-Adaptive Adversarial Learning for Robust Fake News Detection Against Malicious Comments
- Searching smarter, not harder: leveraging AI to enhance literature searches for theory-driven reviews—A methodological case study
- The Social Experience of Entertainment Media
- Does importance influence confidence in organic food attributes?
- A Bayesian cognition approach for belief updating of correlation judgement through uncertainty visualizations
- Getting what you expect: How civil servant stereotypes affect citizen satisfaction and perceived performance
- The Design and Testing of a Field Operations Visualizer
- The triple‐filter bubble: Using agent‐based modelling to test a meta‐theoretical framework for the emergence of filter bubbles and echo chambers
- Institutionalized Policy Evaluation within the Democratic System: Why? When? How?
- Going veggie: Identifying and overcoming the social and psychological barriers to veganism
- Nudge Versus Boost: Agency Dynamics Under Libertarian Paternalism
- Personal Values and Cognitive Biases
- Modeling confirmation bias and polarization
- Is the Political Slant of Psychology Research Related to Scientific Replicability?
- MotivGraph-SoIQ: Integrating Motivational Knowledge Graphs and Socratic Dialogue for Enhanced LLM Ideation
- Alignment Without Understanding: A Message- and Conversation-Centered Approach to Understanding AI Sycophancy
- The Placebo Effect of Artificial Intelligence in Human–Computer Interaction
- Advances in understanding and treating persecutory delusions: a review
- Roads to the Radical Right
- Content biases in three phases of cultural transmission: A review
- Content-Based Learning Biases
- Achieving Digital Wellbeing Through Digital Self-control Tools: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
- The Dumbed‐Down Discourse Dilemma
- Bayes or Pascal? The computations underlying motivated reasoning
- A Revised Framework for the Investigation of Expectation Update Versus Maintenance in the Context of Expectation Violations: The ViolEx 2.0 Model
- How China's Cognitive Warfare Works: A Frontline Perspective of Taiwan's Anti-Disinformation Wars
- Brexit voters: Who has changed their mind?
- Epistemic Communities in American Public Law
- Learning from like-minded people
- Navigating Artificial Intelligence With Human Stupidity… and Vice Versa
- Taking Virtuous Acts, not Virtuous Traits, as Evaluatively and Conceptually Primary
- Social Media, Network Heterogeneity, and Opinion Polarization
- Meinungsfreiheit in Gefahr? Wie politische Einstellungen und individuelle Erfahrungen die Wahrnehmung der Meinungsfreiheit in Deutschland prägen
- Valuing epistemic rationality bolsters the effect of analytic thinking on skepticism toward pseudo-profound bullshit
- New insights on the illusory truth effect: societal reach, cognitive foundations, and mitigation strategies
- Narrative monitoring and argument-checking: Enhancing effectiveness in countering disinformation beyond fact-checking
- Apophenia in Policymaking: Exploring the Tendency to See Imaginary Patterns in Modern Governance
- Unveiling the Link between Hostile Media Perceptions and Disinformation Susceptibility: Investigating Cognitive, Social, Media and Personal Dynamics
- On the Variational Costs of Changing Our Minds
- The Psychology of Falsehood: A Human-Centric Survey of Misinformation Detection
- The echo chamber effect on social media
- Bias in the Loop: How Humans Evaluate AI-Generated Suggestions
- Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning Models Is Not Effective for Knowledge-Intensive Tasks Yet
- Impact of Confirmation Bias on Competitive Information Spread in Social Networks
- Bi-Level Game-Theoretic Planning of Cyber Deception for Cognitive Arbitrage
- The implications of perception as probabilistic inference for correlated neural variability during behavior
- Perspective: Linking Design Thinking with Innovation Outcomes through Cognitive Bias Reduction
- ReviseMate: Exploring Contextual Support for Digesting STEM Paper Reviews
- A Guide for Manual Annotation of Scientific Imagery: How to Prepare for Large Projects
- The closed loop between opinion formation and personalised recommendations
- The Role of the Term “Fake News” in U.S. Alternative Media: Shaping Political Discourse and Hyperpartisanship
- Charting Uncertain Waters: A Socio-Technical Framework for Navigating GenAI's Impact on Open Source Communities
- Social Media Information Operations
- Teaching at Scale: Leveraging AI to Evaluate and Elevate Engineering Education
- Understanding Consumer Preferences for Explanations Generated by XAI Algorithms
- Impression formation [wikipedia]
- Parental vaccine concerns, information source, and choice of alternative immunization schedules. [europepmc]
- A framework for using magic to study the mind. [europepmc]
- A cognitive account of belief: a tentative road map. [europepmc]
- Neural Mechanisms of Credit Assignment in a Multicue Environment. [europepmc]
- "Frank" presentations as a novel research construct and element of diagnostic decision-making in autism spectrum disorder. [europepmc]
- Sustained impact of energy-dense TV and online food advertising on children's dietary intake: a within-subject, randomised, crossover, counter-balanced trial. [europepmc]
- Post-decision biases reveal a self-consistency principle in perceptual inference. [europepmc]
- Triple dissociation of attention and decision computations across prefrontal cortex. [europepmc]
- Neural mechanisms for learning self and other ownership. [europepmc]
- Designing a rigorous microscopy experiment: Validating methods and avoiding bias. [europepmc]
- Regimes of Expectations: An Active Inference Model of Social Conformity and Human Decision Making. [europepmc]
- Understanding non-vaccinating parents' views to inform and improve clinical encounters: a qualitative study in an Australian community. [europepmc]
- Public acceptability of nudging and taxing to reduce consumption of alcohol, tobacco, and food: A population-based survey experiment. [europepmc]
- Impact of blinding on estimated treatment effects in randomised clinical trials: meta-epidemiological study. [europepmc]
- Waste Reduction Strategies: Factors Affecting Talent Wastage and the Efficacy of Talent Selection in Sport. [europepmc]
- Communicating the effectiveness and ineffectiveness of government policies and their impact on public support: a systematic review with meta-analysis. [europepmc]
- Commentary: Physiological and Psychological Impact of Face Mask Usage during the COVID-19 Pandemic. [europepmc]
- Triangulating Evidence through the Inclusion of Genetically Informed Designs. [europepmc]
- A manifesto for reproducible science. [europepmc]
- Human- versus Artificial Intelligence. [europepmc]
- Optimizing Decision-Making Processes in Times of COVID-19: Using Reflexivity to Counteract Information-Processing Failures. [europepmc]
- Vaccine hesitancy: evidence from an adverse events following immunization database, and the role of cognitive biases. [europepmc]
- DeerLab: a comprehensive software package for analyzing dipolar electron paramagnetic resonance spectroscopy data. [europepmc]
- Challenges for assessing replicability in preclinical cancer biology. [europepmc]
- Complementary task representations in hippocampus and prefrontal cortex for generalizing the structure of problems. [europepmc]
Discussions
Related