- Aggregating predictions from experts: a scoping review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications
2019/12/24 by Thomas McAndrew, McAndrew, Thomas, Nutcha Wattanachit +7 · 1 citation
Decision Sciences · Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · Mathematics · #Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting #Applications (stat.AP) #Artificial intelligence #Computer science #Consensus forecast #Data mining #Data science #Econometrics #Expert elicitation #Expert system #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Intuition #Machine learning #Mathematics #Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations #Pace #Statistical model #Terminology #Variety (cybernetics) #stat.AP
- Forecasting at Scale
2017/09/29 by Sean J. Taylor, Benjamin Letham · 145 citations
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · Engineering · #Anomaly detection #Artificial intelligence #Computer science #Consensus forecast #Data mining #Data science #Econometrics #Engineering #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Machine learning #Modular design #Scale (ratio) #Stock Market Forecasting Methods #Systems engineering #Task (project management) #Time Series Analysis and Forecasting #Time series #Variety (cybernetics)
- On the reliability of Seasonal Climate Forecasts
2013/10/12 by Antje Weisheimer, T. N. Palmer, Weisheimer, Antje +1 · 3 citations
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · Mathematics · Physics and Astronomy · #Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #Climate change #Climate model #Climate variability and models #Climatology #Consensus forecast #Econometrics #Economics #Environmental science #FOS: Physical sciences #Geography #Mathematics #Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations #Meteorology #Precipitation #Probabilistic logic #Range (aeronautics) #Reliability (semiconductor) #Scale (ratio) #Statistics #physics.ao-ph
- Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging
2012/07/18 by J. McLean Sloughter, Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · 2 citations
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · Mathematics · #Artificial intelligence #Bayesian probability #Bivariate analysis #Climate variability and models #Computer science #Consensus forecast #Econometrics #Ensemble forecasting #Forecast skill #Forecast verification #Geography #Joint probability distribution #Machine learning #Mathematics #Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations #Meteorology #Multivariate statistics #Numerical weather prediction #Probabilistic forecasting #Probabilistic logic #Probability density function #Probability distribution #Range (aeronautics) #Statistics #Uncertainty quantification #Univariate #Wind and Air Flow Studies #Wind speed
- Rounding of Analyst Forecasts
2005/07/01 by Don Herrmann, Wayne B. Thomas · 2 citations
Business, Management and Accounting · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Actuarial science #Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance #Computer science #Consensus forecast #Dispersion (optics) #Earnings #Econometrics #Economics #Finance #Financial Markets and Investment Strategies #Financial economics #Geography #Liberian dollar #Monetary Policy and Economic Impact #Quarter (Canadian coin) #Rounding
- Do Investors Respond to Analysts' Forecast Revisions as if Forecast Accuracy Is All That Matters?
2003/01/01 by Michael B. Clement, Senyo Y. Tse · 4 citations
Business, Management and Accounting · Decision Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #Actuarial science #Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance #Business #Computer science #Consensus forecast #Econometrics #Economics #Finance #Financial Markets and Investment Strategies #Forecast error #Forecast skill #Forecast verification #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Mathematics #Statistics
- On the Performance and Use of Government Revenue Forecasts
1999/12/01 by Alan J. Auerbach · 1 citation
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #Actuarial science #Budget process #Consensus forecast #Econometrics #Economics #Finance #Fiscal Policies and Political Economy #Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth #Government (linguistics) #Government revenue #Logistic regression #Mathematics #Monetary Policy and Economic Impact #Odds #Pessimism #Point (geometry) #Revenue #Sample (material) #Statistics
- Using analysts' forecasts to measure properties of analysts' information environment.
1998/10/01 by Orie E. Barron, Oliver kim, Oliver Kim +2 · 7 citations
Business, Management and Accounting · Decision Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance #Computer science #Consensus forecast #Data mining #Dispersion (optics) #Econometrics #Economics #Financial Markets and Investment Strategies #Forecast error #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Mathematics #Measure (data warehouse) #Private information retrieval #Quality (philosophy) #Statistics
- Calculating Interval Forecasts
1993/04/01 by Chris Chatfield · 1 citation
Decision Sciences · Mathematics · #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Econometrics #Interval (graph theory) #Statistics #Mathematics #Consensus forecast #Economics #Combinatorics
- Experience with Forecasting Univariate Time Series and the Combination of Forecasts
1974/01/01 by P. Newbold, Paul Newbold, C. W. J. Granger +1 · 19 citations
Decision Sciences · Mathematics · #Advanced Statistical Methods and Models #Computer science #Consensus forecast #Econometrics #Economics #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Mathematics #Multivariate statistics #Sample (material) #Series (stratigraphy) #Statistics #Stock Market Forecasting Methods #Time series #Univariate