A Mathematical Description of the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A Case Study of Brazil

2020/04/07 by Savi, Pedro V., Savi, Marcelo A., Borges, Beatriz
#Chaotic Dynamics (nlin.CD) #FOS: Biological sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2004.03495

Abstract

This paper deals with the mathematical modeling and numerical simulations related to the coronavirus dynamics. A description is developed based on the framework of susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model. Initially, a model verification is carried out calibrating system parameters with data from China, Italy, Iran and Brazil. Afterward, numerical simulations are performed to analyzed different scenarios of COVID-19 in Brazil. Results show the importance of governmental and individual actions to control the number and the period of the critical situations related to the pandemic.

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