2006/11/07 by Roman Binter, Stephen Jewson, Binter, Roman +8 · 3 citations
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Engineering · Environmental Science · Mathematics · Physics and Astronomy · #Aeronautics #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #Computer science #Engineering #Environmental science #FOS: Physical sciences #Flood Risk Assessment and Management #Geography #Mathematics #Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations #Meteorology #Operations research #Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research #physics.ao-ph
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.physics/0611070
published in arXiv (Cornell University) (Cornell University)
arxiv created 2006/11/07 · openalex publication_date 2006/11/07 · arxiv updated 2009/12/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/05
In earlier work we considered methods for predicting future levels of hurricane activity based on the assumption that historical mean activity was at one constant level from 1900 to 1994, and has been at another constant level since then. We now make this model a little more subtle, and account for the possibility of four different levels of mean hurricane activity since 1900.