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Testing Broken Windows Theory in Mexico City

2019/12/23 by Carlos J. Vilalta, Pablo Lopez, Pablo López-Ramírez +3 · 27 citations
Engineering · Medicine · Psychology · Social Sciences · #Context (archaeology) #Crime Patterns and Interventions #Crime, Deviance, and Social Control #Criminology #Environmental health #Geography #Homicide #Injury prevention #Medicine #Operationalization #Poison control #Psychology #Social psychology #Traffic and Road Safety

paper · doi:10.1111/ssqu.12760

published in Social Science Quarterly 101(2), 558-572 (Wiley)

openalex publication_date 2019/12/23 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/25

Abstract

Objectives To test the broken windows theory in the Mexican context. Methods Publicly available homicide counts and census data at the neighborhood level were used. Broken windows theory was operationalized through the use of social disorder and physical disorder measures. Measures were both calculated using PCA. For data analysis, we employed four multilevel random intercept models to relate homicide counts to our broken windows components. Results The social disorder and physical disorder components cannot be seen as operating independently from each other. In addition, the negative interaction term between the two components suggests that the combined impact of social disorder and physical disorder is less than the independent effects, and that the impact of social disorder diminishes as neighborhoods become less physically disordered and vice versa. Conclusion Findings demonstrate the validity of broken windows theory across countries and offer new ideas to support crime prevention policy.

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