2012/12/30 by Jeffrey Shaman, Shaman, Jeffrey, Alicia Karspeck +3
Environmental Science · Medicine · #Climate variability and models #FOS: Biological sciences #Influenza Virus Research Studies #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1212.6678
openalex publication_date 2012/12/30 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
This document is part of a series of near real-time weekly influenza forecasts made during the 2012-2013 influenza season. Here we present results of a forecast initiated following assimilation of observations for Week 51 (i.e. the forecast begins December 23, 2012) for municipalities in the United States. The forecast was made on December 28, 2012. Results from forecasts initiated the four previous weeks (Weeks 47-50) are also presented. Predictions generated with an alternate SIRS model, run without absolute humidity forcing (no AH), are also presented.