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Population and Civil War

2017/04/01 by Daron Acemoğlu, Leopoldo Fergusson, Simon Johnson · 1 citation
Health Professions · Agricultural and Biological Sciences · #Health and Conflict Studies #Agricultural risk and resilience #Global Health Care Issues

paper · pdf · doi:10.3386/w23322

openalex publication_date 2017/04/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/04

Abstract

Medical and public health innovations in the 1940s quickly resulted in significant health improvements around the world. Countries with initially higher mortality from infectious diseases experienced greater increases in life expectancy, population, and -over the following 40 yearssocial conflict. This result is robust across alternative measures of conflict and is not driven by differential trends between countries with varying baseline characteristics. At least during this time period, a faster increase in population made social conflict more likely, probably because it increased competition for scarce resources in low income countries.

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