2007/12/12 by CHRISTIAN A. ANDRESEN, Christian A. Andresen, Henning F. Hansen +7 · 1 citation
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Physics and Astronomy · #Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis #Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence #Statistical Mechanics and Entropy #physics.data-an #physics.soc-ph
paper · pdf · doi:10.1142/s0129183108013187
8 pages, 7 figures
arxiv created 2007/12/12 · openalex publication_date 2008/11/01 · arxiv updated 2009/12/01 · openalex created_date 2016/06/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
This paper describes the application of statistical methods to political polling data in order to look for correlations and memory effects. We propose measures for quantifying the political memory using the correlation function and scaling analysis. These methods reveal time correlations and self-affine scaling properties, respectively, and they have been applied to polling data from Norway. Power-law dependencies have been found between correlation measures and party size, and different scaling behaviors have been found for large and small parties.