2026/05/20 by Tufan SARITAŞ, Emin Ahmet Kaplan, Yasin Büyükkör +1 · 1 voice
Energy · Social Sciences · #Global Energy Security and Policy #Border Security and International Relations #European Union Policy and Governance
paper · doi:10.1080/09644016.2026.2676376
openalex publication_date 2026/05/20 · openalex created_date 2026/05/21 · openalex updated_date 2026/06/15
This study investigates the dynamic effects of energy security risk on the rule of law across 25 European Union (EU) member states during the period 2008–2023 using the Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) method. The rule of law, reflecting institutional quality through indicators, such as property rights, judicial independence, and regulatory reliability, is employed as the dependent variable, while the Energy and Climate Security Risk Index (ECSRI), capturing energy import dependence, fossil fuel intensity, and climate transition vulnerabilities, serves as the main explanatory variable. Empirical results indicate that the rule of law in EU countries exhibits a high degree of persistence, suggesting that institutional structures are largely determined by strong internal dynamics. The direct effect of energy security risk on the rule of law is statistically insignificant, implying that the advanced institutional systems of EU member states remain resilient to fluctuations in energy markets.