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Set Prediction without Imposing Structure as Conditional Density Estimation

2020/10/08 by David W. Zhang, Zhang, David W., Gertjan J. Burghouts +3 · 1 citation
Computer Science · Materials Science · Mathematics · #Algorithm #Artificial intelligence #Computer science #Conditional probability distribution #Data mining #Density estimation #Econometrics #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Focus (optics) #Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Machine Learning in Healthcare #Machine Learning in Materials Science #Machine learning #Mathematics #Metric (unit) #Set (abstract data type) #Statistics #cs.LG #stat.ML

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2010.04109

openalex publication_date 2020/10/08 · arxiv created 2021/02/21 · arxiv updated 2021/02/23 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/05

Abstract

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined cases, where an incorrectly chosen loss function leads to implausible predictions. Example tasks include conditional point-cloud reconstruction and predicting future states of molecules. In this paper, we propose an alternative to training via set losses by viewing learning as conditional density estimation. Our learning framework fits deep energy-based models and approximates the intractable likelihood with gradient-guided sampling. Furthermore, we propose a stochastically augmented prediction algorithm that enables multiple predictions, reflecting the possible variations in the target set. We empirically demonstrate on a variety of datasets the capability to learn multi-modal densities and produce different plausible predictions. Our approach is competitive with previous set prediction models on standard benchmarks. More importantly, it extends the family of addressable tasks beyond those that have unambiguous predictions.

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