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Impacts of demographic catastrophes

2013/11/08 by Ron W Nielsen aka Jan Nurzynski, Nurzynski, Ron W Nielsen aka Jan
Agricultural and Biological Sciences · Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Agricultural risk and resilience #FOS: Biological sciences #Natural Resources and Economic Development #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE) #q-bio.PE

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1311.1850

19 pages, 1 table

arxiv created 2013/11/08 · openalex publication_date 2013/11/08 · arxiv updated 2013/11/11 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Analysis of demographic catastrophes shows that, with the exception of perhaps only two critical events, they were too weak to influence the growth of human population. These results reinforce the conclusion that the concept of the Epoch of Malthusian Stagnation, the alleged first stage of growth claimed by the Demographic Transition Theory, is not supported by empirical evidence. They show that even if we assume that Malthusian positive checks are capable of suppressing the growth of population their impact was too weak to create the Epoch of Malthusian Stagnation.

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