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Crowd Density Forecasting by Modeling Patch-based Dynamics

2019/11/22 by Hiroaki Minoura, Ryo Yonetani, Minoura, Hiroaki +5
Computer Science · #Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #cs.CV

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1911.09814

arxiv created 2019/11/22 · arxiv updated 2019/11/25

Abstract

Forecasting human activities observed in videos is a long-standing challenge in computer vision, which leads to various real-world applications such as mobile robots, autonomous driving, and assistive systems. In this work, we present a new visual forecasting task called crowd density forecasting. Given a video of a crowd captured by a surveillance camera, our goal is to predict how that crowd will move in future frames. To address this task, we have developed the patch-based density forecasting network (PDFN), which enables forecasting over a sequence of crowd density maps describing how crowded each location is in each video frame. PDFN represents a crowd density map based on spatially overlapping patches and learns density dynamics patch-wise in a compact latent space. This enables us to model diverse and complex crowd density dynamics efficiently, even when the input video involves a variable number of crowds that each move independently. Experimental results with several public datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach compared with state-of-the-art forecasting methods.

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