2018/10/29 by Robert R. Kaufman, Stephan Haggard · 121 citations
Social Sciences · #Authoritarianism #Autocracy #Democracy #Development economics #Economics #Exploit #Law #Parallels #Polarization (electrochemistry) #Political Conflict and Governance #Political economy #Political science #Politics #Populism, Right-Wing Movements #Turkey's Politics and Society
paper · pdf · doi:10.1017/s1537592718003377
published in Perspectives on Politics 17(02), 417-432 (Cambridge University Press)
openalex publication_date 2018/10/29 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/04
We explore what can be learned from authoritarian backsliding in middle income countries about the threats to American democracy posed by the election of Donald Trump. We develop some causal hunches and an empirical baseline by considering the rise of elected autocrats in Venezuela, Turkey, and Hungary. Although American political institutions may forestall a reversion to electoral autocracy, we see some striking parallels in terms of democratic dysfunction, polarization, the nature of autocratic appeals, and the processes through which autocratic incumbents sought to exploit elected office. These processes could generate a diminished democratic system in which electoral competition survives, but within a political space that is narrowed by weakened horizontal checks on executive power and rule of law.