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Wasserstein Tube MPC with Exact Uncertainty Propagation

2023/04/24 by Liviu Aolaritei, Aolaritei, Liviu, Marta Fochesato +5 · 4 citations
Engineering · #FOS: Mathematics #Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis #Optimization and Control (math.OC)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2304.12093

openalex publication_date 2023/04/24 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

We study model predictive control (MPC) problems for stochastic LTI systems, where the noise distribution is unknown, compactly supported, and only observable through a limited number of i.i.d. noise samples. Building upon recent results in the literature, which show that distributional uncertainty can be efficiently captured within a Wasserstein ambiguity set, and that such ambiguity sets propagate exactly through the system dynamics, we start by formulating a novel Wasserstein Tube MPC (WT-MPC) problem, with distributionally robust CVaR constraints. We then show that the WT-MPC problem: (1) is a direct generalization of the (deterministic) Robust Tube MPC (RT-MPC) to the stochastic setting; (2) through a scalar parameter, it interpolates between the data-driven formulation based on sample average approximation and the RT-MPC formulation, allowing us to optimally trade between safety and performance; (3) admits a tractable convex reformulation; and (4) is recursively feasible. We conclude the paper with a numerical comparison of WT-MPC and RT-MPC.

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