2020/11/25 by Adam McCloskey, McCloskey, Adam · 1 citation
Engineering · Mathematics · #Control Systems and Identification #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Mathematics #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference #Statistical Methods and Inference #Statistics Theory (math.ST)
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2011.12873
openalex publication_date 2020/11/25 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining techniques from the selective inference and post-selection inference literatures to yield a short confidence interval across a wide range of data realizations. I show that hybrid confidence intervals have correct asymptotic coverage, uniformly over a large class of probability distributions that do not bound scaled model parameters. I illustrate the use of these confidence intervals in the problem of inference after using the LASSO objective function to select a regression model of interest and provide evidence of their desirable length and coverage properties in small samples via a set of Monte Carlo experiments that entail a variety of different data distributions as well as an empirical application to the predictors of diabetes disease progression.