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Ezra Karger

  1. When Large Language Models are More PersuasiveThan Incentivized Humans, and Why
    2025/05/14 by Philipp Schoenegger, Francesco Salvi, Schoenegger, Philipp +77 · 31 voices · 8 citations
    #cs.CL
  2. ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
    2024/09/30 by Ezra Karger, Karger, Ezra, Chen Yueh-Han +10 · 15 citations
    Decision Sciences · #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Computation and Language (cs.CL) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Stock Market Forecasting Methods
  3. AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy
    2024/02/12 by Philipp Schoenegger, Schoenegger, Philipp, Peter S. Park +5 · 6 citations
    Decision Sciences · #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Computation and Language (cs.CL) #Computers and Society (cs.CY) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  4. Self-Resolving Prediction Markets for Unverifiable Outcomes
    2023/06/07 by Siddarth Srinivasan, Ezra Karger, Srinivasan, Siddarth +3 · 1 citation
    Decision Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Auction Theory and Applications #Computer Science and Game Theory (cs.GT) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Economics and business #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Sports Analytics and Performance #Theoretical Economics (econ.TH)