Technological Innovation, Resource Allocation, and Growth*
2017/01/30 by Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Amit Seru +1 · 1 voice · 2,498 citations
Business, Management and Accounting · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #Accounting #Computer science #Creative destruction #Econometrics #Economic Growth and Productivity #Economics #Firm Innovation and Growth #Industrial organization #Macroeconomics #Mathematics #Measure (data warehouse) #Neoclassical economics #Private Equity and Venture Capital #Productivity #Proxy (statistics) #Statistics #Stock (firearms) #Technological change #Total factor productivity #Valuation (finance) #Value (mathematics)
paper · pdf · doi:10.1093/qje/qjw040
published in The Quarterly Journal of Economics 132(2), 665-712 (Oxford University Press)
openalex publication_date 2017/01/30 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/06
Abstract
Abstract We propose a new measure of the economic importance of each innovation. Our measure uses newly collected data on patents issued to U.S. firms in the 1926 to 2010 period, combined with the stock market response to news about patents. Our patent-level estimates of private economic value are positively related to the scientific value of these patents, as measured by the number of citations the patent receives in the future. Our new measure is associated with substantial growth, reallocation, and creative destruction, consistent with the predictions of Schumpeterian growth models. Aggregating our measure suggests that technological innovation accounts for significant medium-run fluctuations in aggregate economic growth and TFP. Our measure contains additional information relative to citation-weighted patent counts; the relation between our measure and firm growth is considerably stronger. Importantly, the degree of creative destruction that is associated with our measure is higher than previous estimates, confirming that it is a useful proxy for the private valuation of patents.
Citations
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