2019/10/02 by M. Golosovsky, Golosovsky, Michael
Decision Sciences · Physics and Astronomy · #Applications (stat.AP) #Complex Network Analysis Techniques #Digital Libraries (cs.DL) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph) #Scientific Computing and Data Management #scientometrics and bibliometrics research
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1910.00867
openalex publication_date 2019/10/02 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
We apply stochastic model of citation dynamics of individual papers developed in our previous work (M. Golosovsky and S. Solomon, Phys. Rev. E 95, 012324 (2017)) to forecast citation career of individual papers. We focus not only on the estimate of the future citations of a paper but on the probabilistic margins of such estimate as well.