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The changing relationship between unemployment and total fertility

2018/01/02 by Deniz D. Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal, Joshua R. Goldstein · 1 citation
Health Professions · Social Sciences · #Global Health Care Issues #Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics #Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management

paper · doi:10.1080/00324728.2017.1404624

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate whether there has been a fundamental change in the relationship between economic conditions and fertility. We use panel data methods to study the short-term changes in total fertility and the unemployment rate in a range of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from 1957 to 2014. We find that although fertility was counter-cyclical before 1970, with good economic times being associated with lower fertility, since then it has become pro-cyclical, with good economic times being associated with higher fertility.

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