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Online Traffic Density Estimation using Physics-Informed Neural Networks

2025/04/04 by Dennis Wilkman, Wilkman, Dennis, Kateryna Morozovska +5 · 1 citation
Computer Science · Engineering · #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Mathematics #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Network Traffic and Congestion Control #Optimization and Control (math.OC) #Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques #Traffic control and management

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2504.03483

openalex publication_date 2025/04/04 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Recent works on the application of Physics-Informed Neural Networks to traffic density estimation have shown to be promising for future developments due to their robustness to model errors and noisy data. In this paper, we introduce a methodology for online approximation of the traffic density using measurements from probe vehicles in two settings: one using the Greenshield model and the other considering a high-fidelity traffic simulation. The proposed method continuously estimates the real-time traffic density in space and performs model identification with each new set of measurements. The density estimate is updated in almost real-time using gradient descent and adaptive weights. In the case of full model knowledge, the resulting algorithm has similar performance to the classical open-loop one. However, in the case of model mismatch, the iterative solution behaves as a closed-loop observer and outperforms the baseline method. Similarly, in the high-fidelity setting, the proposed algorithm correctly reproduces the traffic characteristics.

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