2023/10/03 by Leung, Tim, Park, Hyungbin, Yeo, Heejun
#FOS: Economics and business #Mathematical Finance (q-fin.MF) #Portfolio Management (q-fin.PM)
paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2310.02084
This paper analyzes the robust long-term growth rate of expected utility and expected return from holding a leveraged exchange-traded fund (LETF). When the Markovian model parameters in the reference asset are uncertain, the robust long-term growth rate is derived by analyzing the worst-case parameters among an uncertainty set. We compute the growth rate and describe the optimal leverage ratio maximizing the robust long-term growth rate. To achieve this, the worst-case parameters are analyzed by the comparison principle, and the growth rate of the worst-case is computed using the martingale extraction method. The robust long-term growth rates are obtained explicitly under a number of models for the reference asset, including the geometric Brownian motion (GBM), Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR), 3/2, and Heston and 3/2 stochastic volatility models. Additionally, we demonstrate the impact of stochastic interest rates, such as the Vasicek and inverse GARCH short rate models. This paper is an extended work of \citetLeung2017.