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In the Nick of Time: Conflict Management, Mediation Timing, and the Duration of Interstate Disputes

2000/06/01 by Patrick M. Regan, Allan C. Stam · 201 citations
Business, Management and Accounting · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Social Sciences · #Alternative dispute resolution #Argument (complex analysis) #Computer science #Conflict management #Consistency (knowledge bases) #Dispute mechanism #Duration (music) #Labor Movements and Unions #Labor disputes #Labor relations #Law #Law and economics #Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems #Lawyer supported mediation #Mediation #Period (music) #Political Influence and Corporate Strategies #Political science #Sociology

paper · pdf · doi:10.1111/0020-8833.00157

published in International Studies Quarterly 44(2), 239-260 (Oxford University Press)

openalex publication_date 2000/06/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/23

Abstract

This paper develops a theoretical argument linking time and the timing of conflict management efforts to dispute duration. We test competing hypotheses on conflict data drawn from disputes in the post-1945 period. Our analysis demonstrates that the effects of mediation vary substantially over the course of a dispute. Specifically, we note that mediation has a curvilinear relationship with time and the ending of disputes. Mediation efforts that occur soon after disputes begin have the best chance of reducing expected future dispute duration. Following this initial period, subsequent mediation efforts lead to longer rather than shorter disputes. After a long period, mediation again leads to shorter rather than longer disputes. We also find that there should be consistency in the mediators used to manage a conflict rather than shifting personnel to interject new ideas.

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