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Optimal Best Markovian Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence

2019/12/02 by Vrettos Moulos, Moulos, Vrettos · 1 citation
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · #Advanced Bandit Algorithms Research #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Mathematics #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Machine Learning and Algorithms #Optimization and Search Problems #Statistics Theory (math.ST)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1912.00636

openalex publication_date 2019/12/02 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

We give a complete characterization of the sampling complexity of best Markovian arm identification in one-parameter Markovian bandit models. We derive instance specific nonasymptotic and asymptotic lower bounds which generalize those of the IID setting. We analyze the Track-and-Stop strategy, initially proposed for the IID setting, and we prove that asymptotically it is at most a factor of four apart from the lower bound. Our one-parameter Markovian bandit model is based on the notion of an exponential family of stochastic matrices for which we establish many useful properties. For the analysis of the Track-and-Stop strategy we derive a novel concentration inequality for Markov chains that may be of interest in its own right.

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