2025/10/23 by Ayoub El Hanchi, Hanchi, Ayoub El, Murat Erdogdu +3 · 1 voice
#math.ST #stat.ML
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2510.20978
What property of the data distribution determines the excess risk of principal component analysis? In this paper, we provide a precise answer to this question. We establish a central limit theorem for the error of the principal subspace estimated by PCA, and derive the asymptotic distribution of its excess risk under the reconstruction loss. We obtain a non-asymptotic upper bound on the excess risk of PCA that recovers, in the large sample limit, our asymptotic characterization. Underlying our contributions is the following result: we prove that the negative block Rayleigh quotient, defined on the Grassmannian, is generalized self-concordant along geodesics emanating from its minimizer of maximum rotation less than π/4.