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An "inside-out" approach to modeling supermassive black hole binary inspiral

2026/08/06 by Laura Blecha
Physics and Astronomy · #astro-ph.HE

paper · pdf

29 pages, 12 figures, submitted to ApJ. Comments welcome

arxiv created 2026/08/06 · arxiv published 2026/08/06 · arxiv updated 2026/08/07

Abstract

The inspiral and merger of two supermassive black holes (SMBHs) releases immense energy in low-frequency gravitational waves (GWs). Recent pulsar timing array (PTA) observations of the stochastic nHz GW background (GWB) are consistent with a SMBH binary origin. GW data from PTAs and from the upcoming Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) can probe late-stage binary evolution where electromagnetic constraints are scarce. However, the complexity of the relevant astrophysics necessitates a well optimized approach. I argue that a key physical quantity to constrain with PTAs is the orbital semi-major axis at which binary inspiral transitions from the astrophysical to the GW-dominated regime (a\rm GW). This quantity should be treated as a free parameter in analysis of the GWB. Using this premise, I present a simple analytic framework for modeling SMBH binary inspiral in an "inside-out" fashion. At orbital separations slightly larger than a\rm GW, a power-law scaling for the astrophysical inspiral timescale is assumed, while the outermost phase (prior to the PTA regime) is simply modeled via a delay time. I show that the GWB spectral shape and amplitude are most sensitive to a\rm GW (normalized to 109 M\odot, equal-mass binaries and expressed in gravitational units), with weaker dependence on the inner power-law index and the outer delay time. The GWB is largely insensitive to the mass and mass-ratio scaling of a\rm GW and to the boundary between the inner and outer astrophysical inspiral regimes. I compare with models for gas- and stellar-driven binary inspiral and discuss implications for LISA and for GW source parameter inference.