2021/07/25 by Xiaohong Chen, Timothy Christensen, Chen, Xiaohong +3 · 2 citations
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Econometrics (econ.EM) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Economics and business #Firm Innovation and Growth #Global trade and economics #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Methodology (stat.ME) #Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2107.11869
openalex publication_date 2021/07/25 · openalex created_date 2021/08/02 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
We introduce two data-driven procedures for optimal estimation and inference in nonparametric models using instrumental variables. The first is a data-driven choice of sieve dimension for a popular class of sieve two-stage least squares estimators. When implemented with this choice, estimators of both the structural function h0 and its derivatives (such as elasticities) converge at the fastest possible (i.e., minimax) rates in sup-norm. The second is for constructing uniform confidence bands (UCBs) for h0 and its derivatives. Our UCBs guarantee coverage over a generic class of data-generating processes and contract at the minimax rate, possibly up to a logarithmic factor. As such, our UCBs are asymptotically more efficient than UCBs based on the usual approach of undersmoothing. As an application, we estimate the elasticity of the intensive margin of firm exports in a monopolistic competition model of international trade. Simulations illustrate the good performance of our procedures in empirically calibrated designs. Our results provide evidence against common parameterizations of the distribution of unobserved firm heterogeneity.