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The Economic Value of Volatility Timing

2001/02/01 by Jeff Fleming, Chris Kirby, Barbara Ostdiek · 2 citations
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling #Financial Markets and Investment Strategies #Market Dynamics and Volatility

paper · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00327

Abstract

ABSTRACT Numerous studies report that standard volatility models have low explanatory power, leading some researchers to question whether these models have economic value. We examine this question by using conditional meanm‐variance analysis to assess the value of volatility timing to short‐horizon investors. We find that the volatility timing strategies outperform the unconditionally efficient static portfolios that have the same target expected return and volatility. This finding is robust to estimation risk and transaction costs.

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