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Rate-induced tipping from periodic attractors: partial tipping and connecting orbits

2017/08/31 by Hassan M. Alkhayuon, Peter Ashwin · 2 citations
Mathematics · #math.DS

paper · pdf · doi:10.1063/1.5000418

published as Chaos 28, 033608 (2018)

arxiv created 2018/02/14 · arxiv updated 2018/03/14

Abstract

We consider how breakdown of the quasistatic approximation for attractors can lead to rate-induced tipping, where a qualitative change in tracking/tipping behaviour of trajectories can be characterised in terms of a critical rate. Associated with rate-induced tipping (where tracking of a branch of quasistatic attractors breaks down) we find a new phenomenon for attractors that are not simply equilibria: partial tipping of the pullback attractor where certain phases of the periodic attractor tip and others track the quasistatic attractor. For a specific model system with a parameter shift between two asymptotically autonomous systems with periodic attractors we characterise thresholds of rate-induced tipping to partial and total tipping. We show these thresholds can be found in terms of certain periodic-to-periodic (PtoP) and periodic-to-equilibrium (PtoE) connections that we determine using Lin's method for an augmented system.

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