2026/04/20 by Davey Plugers, Kunihiko Kaneko · 1 voice · 1 citation
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Physics and Astronomy · #physics.bio-ph #q-bio.MN
12 pages, 5 figures
arxiv published 2026/04/20 · arxiv created 2026/08/05 · arxiv updated 2026/08/06
Gene expression in cells is stochastic, yet differentiation can display reproducible timing and stable fate commitment. We develop an analytical theory for a previously identified mechanism in which weakly stable intermediate, or frustrated, gene-expression states are perturbed by stochastic fluctuations and subsequently fixed by slow epigenetic feedback. By eliminating the fast expression dynamics, we show that the differentiation of the slow epigenetic variable is driven by the noise of gene-expression, which can be amplified by regulatory interactions. We derive the logarithmic dependence of onset time for differentiation upon the effective noise intensity, and the input-dependent probability of reaching either fate. We further construct a Waddington-inspired time-dependent probability landscape that visualizes population branching and progressive fate fixation.