vix.ing · top · new · best · stats · spec

Probabilistic Causality, Selection Bias, and the Logic of the Democratic Peace

2005/08/01 by Branislav L. Slantchev, Anna Alexandrova, Erik Gartzke · 1 citation
Social Sciences · Arts and Humanities · Mathematics · #Political Conflict and Governance #Peacebuilding and International Security #War, Ethics, and Justification #Democracy #Selection (genetic algorithm) #Probabilistic logic #Causality (physics) #Positive economics #Epistemology #Political science #Selection bias #Sociology #Computer science #Economics #Law #Mathematics #Artificial intelligence #Philosophy #Politics #Statistics

paper · doi:10.1017/s0003055405051786

openalex publication_date 2005/08/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/06/11

Abstract

Rosato (2003) claims to have discredited democratic peace theories. However, the methodological approach adopted by the study cannot reliably generate the conclusions espoused by the author. Rosato seems to misunderstand the probabilistic nature of most arguments about democratic peace and ignores issues that an appropriate research design should account for. Further, the study's use of case studies and data sets without attention to selection-bias produces examples that actually support theories it seeks to undermine. These problems place in doubt the article's findings.

Citations

Cited by