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Curved Exponential Models in Econometrics

1997/12/01 by Kees Jan van Garderen · 20 citations
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Business, Management and Accounting · Mathematics · #Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets #Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing #Wine Industry and Tourism #Mathematics #Autoregressive model #Statistic #Econometrics #Econometric model #Exponential function #Exponential family #Sufficient statistic #Dimension (graph theory) #Curvature #Multivariate statistics #Property (philosophy) #Inference #Applied mathematics #Statistics #Mathematical analysis #Computer science

paper · doi:10.1017/s0266466600006253

published in Econometric Theory 13(6), 771-790 (Cambridge University Press)

openalex publication_date 1997/12/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/30

Abstract

Curved exponential models have the property that the dimension of the minimal sufficient statistic is larger than the number of parameters in the model. Many econometric models share this feature. The first part of the paper shows that, in fact, econometric models with this property are necessarily curved exponential. A method for constructing an explicit set of minimal sufficient statistics, based on partial scores and likelihood ratios, is given. The difference in dimension between parameterand statistic and the curvature of these models have important consequences for inference. It is not the purpose of this paper to contribute significantly to the theory of curved exponential models, other than to show that the theory applies to many econometric models and to highlight some multivariate aspects. Using the methods developed in the first part, we show that demand systems, the single structural equation model, the seemingly unrelated regressions, and autoregressive models are all curved exponential models.

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