2017/09/28 by John B. Rundle, John B Rundle, Molly Luginbuhl +3 · 3 citations
Computer Science · Earth and Planetary Sciences · Physics and Astronomy · #Current (fluid) #Earthquake Detection and Analysis #Estimation #Focus (optics) #Megacity #Natural (archaeology) #Nowcasting #Ranking (information retrieval) #Seismology and Earthquake Studies #earthquake and tectonic studies #physics.geo-ph
paper · pdf · doi:10.1007/s00024-017-1720-x
9 Figures, 4 Tables
arxiv created 2017/09/28 · openalex created_date 2017/10/06 · crossref issued 2017/11/20 · crossref published 2017/11/20 · crossref published-online 2017/11/20 · openalex publication_date 2017/11/20 · crossref created 2017/11/20 · arxiv updated 2017/12/06 · crossref published-print 2018/02/01 · crossref deposited 2022/08/07 · crossref indexed 2026/07/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/05
This paper describes the use of the idea of natural time to propose a new method for characterizing the seismic risk to the world's major cities at risk of earthquakes. Rather than focus on forecasting, which is the computation of probabilities of future events, we define the term seismic nowcasting, which is the computation of the current state of seismic hazard in a defined geographic region.