The Parkfield, California, Earthquake Prediction Experiment

1985/08/16 by W. H. Bakun, A. G. Lindh · 17 citations
Computer Science · Earth and Planetary Sciences · Engineering · #Aerospace engineering #Aftershock #Earthquake Detection and Analysis #Earthquake magnitude #Earthquake prediction #Engineering #Fault (geology) #Foreshock #Geology #Induced seismicity #San andreas fault #Seismology #Seismology and Earthquake Studies #Slip (aerodynamics) #earthquake and tectonic studies

paper · doi:10.1126/science.229.4714.619

openalex publication_date 1985/08/16 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/23

Abstract

Five moderate (magnitude 6) earthquakes with similar features have occurred on the Parkfield section of the San Andreas fault in central California since 1857. The next moderate Parkfield earthquake is expected to occur before 1993. The Parkfield prediction experiment is designed to monitor the details of the final stages of the earthquake preparation process; observations and reports of seismicity and aseismic slip associated with the last moderate Parkfield earthquake in 1966 constitute much of the basis of the design of the experiment.

Citations

• Earthquakes near Parkfield, California: Comparing the 1934 and 1966 Sequences
• Dynamics of an expanding circular fault

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• The Loma Prieta, California, Earthquake: An Anticipated Event
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• Is Earthquake Seismology a Hard, Quantitative Science?
• Earthquake Prediction and Forecasting
• Assessment of schemes for earthquake prediction: Editor's introduction
• A systematic compilation of earthquake precursors
• Implications for prediction and hazard assessment from the 2004 Parkfield earthquake
• Earthquake prediction: a critical review
• Rethinking Earthquake Prediction
• The Earthquake Prediction Experiment at Parkfield, California
• Are earthquakes predictable?
• Statistical aspects of Parkfield earthquake sequence and Parkfield prediction experiment
• Three‐dimensional velocity structure, seismicity, and fault structure in the Parkfield Region, central California
• Earthquake prediction: a political problem?
• Earthquake prediction [wikipedia]