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Evaluating the palm oil demand in Indonesia: production trends, yields, and emerging issues

2018/05/02 by Dilip Khatiwada, Carl Palmén, Semida Silveira · 2 citations
Engineering · Environmental Science · #Agricultural economics #Agricultural science #Biodiesel Production and Applications #Biofuel production and bioconversion #Business #Consumer demand #Economics #Environmental science #Market economy #Natural resource economics #Oil Palm Production and Sustainability #Palm #Palm oil #Production (economics)

paper · pdf · doi:10.1080/17597269.2018.1461520

openalex publication_date 2018/05/02 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/01

Abstract

This paper investigates the development of domestic and international demand for Indonesian palm oil, in line with national biofuel mandates and established export markets. Domestic demand for palm oil for (i) achieving biodiesel targets and (ii) meeting food and industrial uses will reach 20 million tonnes by 2025, equivalent to 61% of Indonesian production in 2014. Thus, it is possible for Indonesia to be self-sufficient, reaching the biodiesel targets without increasing plantation areas. However, to meet both domestic and international demand, a total 51 million tonnes of crude palm oil will be needed in 2025. This requires additional land of up to 6 million hectares with current yields. The expansion of oil palm plantations in Indonesia has led to debates related to deforestation, threatened biodiversity, and greenhouse gas emissions. We show that increasing agricultural yields could serve the purpose, benefiting biodiesel production while reducing the need for new land. Therefore, we recommend that the ambitious Indonesian biodiesel mandates are pursued in combination with a strategy for increased productivity in palm oil production, utilization of degraded land to contain greenhouse gas emissions, and use of palm oil biomass residues for energy production.

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