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Evidence for Two Distinct Modes of Large-Scale Ocean Circulation Changes over the Last Century

2009/08/05 by Mihai Dima, Gerrit Lohmann · 3 citations
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · #Geology and Paleoclimatology Research #Climate variability and models #Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes

paper · pdf · doi:10.1175/2009jcli2867.1

openalex publication_date 2009/08/05 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/09

Abstract

Abstract Through its nonlinear dynamics and involvement in past abrupt climate shifts the thermohaline circulation (THC) represents a key element for the understanding of rapid climate changes. The expected THC weakening under global warming is characterized by large uncertainties, and it is therefore of significant importance to identify ocean circulation changes over the last century. By applying various statistical techniques on two global sea surface temperature datasets two THC-related modes are separated. The first one involves relatively slow adjustment of the whole conveyor belt circulation and has an interhemispherically symmetric pattern. The second mode is associated with the relatively fast adjustment of the North Atlantic overturning cell and has the seesaw structure. Based on the separation of these two patterns the authors show that the global conveyor has been weakening since the late 1930s and that the North Atlantic overturning cell suffered an abrupt shift around 1970. The distinction between the two modes provides also a new frame for interpreting past abrupt climate changes.

Citations

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