Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?

1977/12/01 by Sarah Lichtenstein, Baruch Fischhoff · 2 citations
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · #Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference #Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics #Forecasting Techniques and Applications

paper · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(77)90001-0

crossref issued 1977/12/01 · crossref published 1977/12/01 · crossref published-print 1977/12/01 · openalex publication_date 1977/12/01 · crossref created 2004/08/27 · crossref deposited 2019/02/04 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · crossref indexed 2026/07/28 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/30

Citations

• Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability
• A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score
• VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY
• Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Cited by

• Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence.
• Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.
• List of cognitive biases [wikipedia]