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Intergenerational Economic Mobility in the United States, 1940 to 2000

2008/01/01 by Daniel Aaronson, Bhashkar Mazumder · 2 citations
Social Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies #Labor market dynamics and wage inequality #Income, Poverty, and Inequality

paper · pdf · doi:10.1353/jhr.2008.0008

openalex publication_date 2008/01/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/06/16

Abstract

We estimate trends in intergenerational economic mobility by matching men in the Census to synthetic parents in the prior generation. We find that mobility increased from 1950 to 1980 but has declined sharply since 1980. While our estimator places greater weight on location effects than the standard intergenerational coefficient, the size of the bias appears to be small. Our preferred results suggest that earnings are regressing to the mean more slowly now than at any time since World War II, causing economic differences between families to become more persistent. However, current rates of positional mobility appear historically normal.

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