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Recognition of Emerging Technology Trends. Class-selective study of\n citations in the U.S. Patent Citation Network

2016/02/25 by Peter A. Bruck, István Réthy, Bruck, Péter +7
Business, Management and Accounting · Decision Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Digital Libraries (cs.DL) #Economic and Technological Innovation #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting #Intellectual Property and Patents #Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1602.07928

openalex publication_date 2016/02/25 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

By adopting a citation-based recursive ranking method for patents the\nevolution of new fields of technology can be traced. Specifically, it is\ndemonstrated that the laser / inkjet printer technology emerged from the\nrecombination of two existing technologies: sequential printing and static\nimage production. The dynamics of the citations coming from the different\n"precursor" classes illuminates the mechanism of the emergence of new fields\nand give the possibility to make predictions about future technological\ndevelopment. For the patent network the optimal value of the PageRank damping\nfactor is close to 0.5; the application of d=0.85 leads to unacceptable ranking\nresults.\n

Citations

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