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The double-edged effect of environmental fluctuations on evolutionary rescue

2026/03/05 by Shota Shibasaki, Masato Yamamichi · 2 voices
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Social Sciences · Agricultural and Biological Sciences · #Evolution and Genetic Dynamics #Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation #Animal Behavior and Reproduction

paper · doi:10.1093/evolut/qpag034

Abstract

Recent studies revealed that contemporary evolution can prevent population extinction in deteriorating environments. Such evolutionary rescue has been intensively studied, but few have focused on environmental fluctuations. As global changes alter both the mean and variance of environmental variables, it is crucial to understand how environmental fluctuations affect evolutionary rescue. Here, through the evolution experiments on green algae Chlorella vulgaris, we show that increasing the amplitude of environmental fluctuations around long-term deteriorating trends has negative and positive effects on evolutionary rescue. We first increased the salinity level gradually to 0.6M NaCl and found that the algae exposed to large fluctuations tended to grow more slowly. This seems to be because large fluctuations produce an episode of a huge environmental change, which can increase adaptation lag. Then, we increased the salinity level to 1M NaCl and found that the algae exposed to large fluctuations grew, while those exposed to smaller or no fluctuations did not. This seems enigmatic, but our mathematical model suggests that trait variance within a population might increase under large fluctuations, which can promote adaptive evolution. Our results highlight the complex role of environmental fluctuations in evolutionary rescue, calling for more investigations to understand evolutionary rescue in nature.

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