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New Estimates for the Shadow Economies all over the World

2010/12/01 by Friedrich Schneider, Andreas Buehn, Claudio E. Montenegro · 1 citation
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Business, Management and Accounting · #Taxation and Compliance Studies #Corporate Taxation and Avoidance #Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth

paper · doi:10.1080/10168737.2010.525974

openalex publication_date 2010/12/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/31

Abstract

This paper presents estimations of the shadow economies for 162 countries, including developing, Eastern European, Central Asian, and high income OECD countries over 1999 to 2006/2007. According to our estimations, the weighted average size of the shadow economy (as a percentage of ‘official’ GDP) in Sub-Saharan Africa is 37.6%, in Europe and Central Asia (mostly transition countries) 36.4% and in high income OECD countries 13.4%. We find that an increased burden of taxation (direct and indirect ones), combined with (labour market) regulations and the quality of public goods and services as well as the state of the ‘official’ economy are the driving forces of the shadow economy.

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