2017/08/12 by Christoph Doblander, Martin Strohbach, Doblander, Christoph +5
Computer Science · Engineering · #Time Series Analysis and Forecasting #Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1708.04613
This paper addresses the use of smart-home sensor streams for continuous prediction of energy loads of individual households which participate as an agent in local markets. We introduces a new device level energy consumption dataset recorded over three years wich includes high resolution energy measurements from electrical devices collected within a pilot program. Using data from that pilot, we analyze the applicability of various machine learning mechanisms for continuous load prediction. Specifically, we address short-term load prediction that is required for load balancing in electrical micro-grids. We report on the prediction performance and the computational requirements of a broad range of prediction mechanisms. Furthermore we present an architecture and experimental evaluation when this prediction is applied in the stream.