2015/05/11 by Teimuraz V. Zaqarashvili, T. V. Zaqarashvili, Ramon Oliver +11 · 41 citations
Physics and Astronomy · #Differential rotation #Dipole model of the Earth's magnetic field #Dynamo #Dynamo theory #Magnetic diffusivity #Magnetic field #Scientific Research and Discoveries #Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics #Solar dynamo #Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies #Sunspot #Tachocline #astro-ph.SR
paper · pdf · doi:10.1088/2041-8205/805/2/l14
published in The Astrophysical Journal Letters 805(2), L14 (IOP Publishing) · 4 pages, 4 figures, accepted in ApJL
arxiv created 2015/05/11 · openalex publication_date 2015/05/27 · arxiv updated 2015/06/03 · openalex created_date 2016/06/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/05
Long-term records of sunspot number and concentrations of cosmogenic radionuclides (10Be and 14C) on the Earth reveal the variation of the Sun's magnetic activity over hundreds and thousands of years. We identify several clear periods in sunspot, 10Be, and 14C data as 1000, 500, 350, 200, and 100 years. We found that the periods of the first five spherical harmonics of the slow magnetic Rossby mode in the presence of a steady toroidal magnetic field of 1200–1300 G in the lower tachocline are in perfect agreement with the timescales of observed variations. The steady toroidal magnetic field can be generated in the lower tachocline either due to the steady dynamo magnetic field for low magnetic diffusivity or due to the action of the latitudinal differential rotation on the weak poloidal primordial magnetic field, which penetrates from the radiative interior. The slow magnetic Rossby waves lead to variations of the steady toroidal magnetic field in the lower tachocline, which modulate the dynamo magnetic field and consequently the solar cycle strength. This result constitutes a key point for long-term prediction of the cycle strength. According to our model, the next deep minimum in solar activity is expected during the first half of this century.