2003/11/14 by Artyom Durnev, Randall Morck, Randall Mørck +2 · 7 citations
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Business, Management and Accounting · #Financial Markets and Investment Strategies #Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance #Corporate Finance and Governance
paper · doi:10.1046/j.1475-679x.2003.00124.x
ABSTRACT Roll [1988] observes low R 2 statistics for common asset pricing models due to vigorous firm‐specific return variation not associated with public information. He concludes that this implies “either private information or else occasional frenzy unrelated to concrete information”[p. 56]. We show that firms and industries with lower market model R 2 statistics exhibit higher association between current returns and future earnings, indicating more information about future earnings in current stock returns. This supports Roll's first interpretation: higher firm‐specific return variation as a fraction of total variation signals more information‐laden stock prices and, therefore, more efficient stock markets.