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Migration of Trans-Neptunian Objects to the Terrestrial Planets

2003/05/31 by С. И. Ипатов, S. I. Ipatov, John C. Mather +1
Physics and Astronomy · #Astro and Planetary Science #Planetary Science and Exploration #Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies #astro-ph

paper · pdf · doi:10.1023/b:moon.0000031928.45965.7b

Earth, Moon, and Planets [Proceedings of the international scientific workshop on the "First Decadal Review of the Edgeworth-Kuiper Belt - Towards New Frontiers" (11-14 March 2003, Antofagasta, Chile)]. In press

openalex publication_date 2003/06/01 · arxiv created 2003/08/25 · arxiv updated 2009/12/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The orbital evolution of more than 22000 Jupiter-crossing objects under the gravitational influence of planets was investigated. We found that the mean collision probabilities of Jupiter-crossing objects (from initial orbits close to the orbit of a comet) with the terrestrial planets can differ by more than two orders of magnitude for different comets. For initial orbital elements close to those of some comets (e.g. 2P and 10P), about 0.1% of objects got Earth-crossing orbits with semi-major axes a<2 AU and moved in such orbits for more than a Myr (up to tens or even hundreds of Myrs). Results of our runs testify in favor of at least one of these conclusions: 1) the portion of 1-km former trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) among near-Earth objects (NEOs) can exceed several tens of percents, 2) the number of TNOs migrating inside solar system could be smaller by a factor of several than it was earlier considered, 3) most of 1-km former TNOs that had got NEO orbits disintegrated into mini-comets and dust during a smaller part of their dynamical lifetimes if these lifetimes are not small.

Citations