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SEQUENTIAL EXPERT ADVICE: SUPERIORITY OF CLOSED‐DOOR MEETINGS

2019/04/16 by Parimal K. Bag, P. Bag, Tridib Sharma · 1 citation
Decision Sciences · Social Sciences · #Auction Theory and Applications #Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies #Game Theory and Applications

paper · doi:10.1111/iere.12407

Abstract

Abstract Two career‐concerned experts sequentially give advice to a Bayesian decision maker ( D ). We find that secrecy dominates transparency, yielding superior decisions for D . Secrecy empowers the expert moving late to be pivotal more often. Further, (i) only secrecy enables the second expert to partially communicate her information and its high precision to D and swing the decision away from first expert's recommendation; (ii) if experts have high average precision, then the second expert is effective only under secrecy. These results are obtained when experts only recommend decisions. If they also report the quality of advice, fully revealing equilibrium may exist.

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