2004/07/01 by David H. Douglass, Benjamin D. Pearson, S. Fred Singer · 3 citations
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · Physics and Astronomy · #Atmospheric Ozone and Climate #Climate Change and Geoengineering #Climate variability and models #physics.geo-ph
paper · pdf · doi:10.1029/2004gl020103
published as GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L13208, 2004 · 9 pages, 3 figures
openalex publication_date 2004/07/01 · arxiv created 2004/07/14 · arxiv updated 2015/06/26 · openalex created_date 2016/06/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
As a consequence of greenhouse forcing, all state of the art general circulation models predict a positive temperature trend that is greater for the troposphere than the surface. This predicted positive trend increases in value with altitude until it reaches a maximum ratio with respect to the surface of as much as 1.5 to 2.0 at about 200 to 400 hPa. However, the temperature trends from several independent observational data sets show decreasing as well as mostly negative values. This disparity indicates that the three models examined here fail to account for the effects of greenhouse forcings.