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Everyone or Just Some? Cost-Effectiveness of General Population Versus Targeted Screening Strategies for Type 1 Diabetes in Canada

2026/03/02 by Shweta Mital, Desmond A. Schatz, Michael J. Haller +2 · 1 voice
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Medicine · #Diabetes Management and Research #Diabetes and associated disorders #Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet

paper · pdf · doi:10.2337/dc25-2248

openalex publication_date 2026/03/02 · openalex created_date 2026/03/03 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/31

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Timely screening for type 1 diabetes can prevent life-threatening diabetic ketoacidosis and offers the opportunity to delay disease onset with emerging disease-modifying therapies. Yet, population-wide screening is costly, raising questions on whether its benefits justify the costs and the optimal age and frequency of screening. This study examined the cost-effectiveness of general population versus targeted autoantibody screening at alternative ages and frequencies. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using a hybrid decision tree-Markov model, this study compared six strategies defined by different populations screened (i.e., general population vs. only groups at high genetic risk or those with a family history), and frequency and age of screening (once at age 4 vs. twice, at ages 2 and 6) versus no screening. Costs were estimated from the Canadian health system perspective, and effectiveness was measured as the number of at-risk children detected. RESULTS: Compared with family history-based screening at ages 2 and 6, general population screening at age 4 cost 404,534 more but detected 35 more cases (per 10,000 children) for an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 11,383/case detected. General population screening at ages 2 and 6 cost an additional 462,679 and detected 18 more cases (per 10,000 children) at an incremental cost of 25,923/case detected. Screening targeted at only infants at high genetic risk involved higher costs and detected fewer cases than general population screening. CONCLUSIONS: General population screening detects more at-risk children than targeted approaches but also incurs higher costs. The incremental cost per case detected is comparable to that reported for other pediatric screening initiatives.

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