2025/07/03 by Christina Boyes, Katherine Lynch-Dombroski · 1 voice
Social Sciences · Environmental Science · #Transboundary Water Resource Management #Hydropower, Displacement, Environmental Impact #Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology
paper · doi:10.1177/27538796251338623
openalex publication_date 2025/07/03 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/05/21
How do the direction of river flow and the dynamics of power within a river basin affect international conflict and cooperation? Studies of border disputes suggest that the presence of institutionalized agreements can decrease conflict over rivers. What factors determine the likelihood of institutionalized agreements is less well understood. In this paper, we argue that relative hydrological dominance can be a crucial determinant of states’ strategic interests over rivers and willingness to cooperate or engage in river-related militarized interstate disputes, particularly when climate-change-related variability in supply, abundance, and scarcity is accounted for. We test these hypotheses on a global dataset of rivers and the agreements governing them from 1946 to 2018.