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Time trends in the incidence of work-related disease in the UK, 1996-2024: estimation from THOR surveillance data

2025/01/01 by Matthew Gittins, Laura Byrne, Mchale, Georgia +3 · 1 voice

paper · pdf · doi:10.71535/ad4cbfa9-a300-4424-9499-58227d97678e

openalex publication_date 2025/01/01 · openalex created_date 2026/01/29 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This report describes temporal trends in incidence of work‐related illness (WRI) in the UK as re‐ported to the two constituent schemes of The Health and Occupation Research (THOR) network which are funded by the Health and Safety Executive (HSE). These are EPIDERM (dermatologists) and SWORD (chest physicians). <br/><br/>The current report updates previously submitted reports by the incorporation of the data collected in 2024. Data were analysed using ‘multilevel’ statistical models to investigate the relative incidence of reported cases over time, whilst taking into account other factors that might influence the trend (such as the number of physicians reporting each year and the number of people employed in the UK). <br/><br/>In addition, to correct for any temporal trends in false negative reporting, separate analyses, using the ‘Zero‐inflated negative binomial’ (ZINB) model, were carried out, using all data from EPIDERM or all data from SWORD. Change in incidence has been presented either as the average annual percentage change in incidence rate over a defined period or as graphs showing the relative rate for each year compared to a referenceyear (2019). <br/><br/>Analyses were carried out separately (for each scheme), for the total reported cases and then for each of the conditions of interest (for example, asthma).

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