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Investigating the Temporal Sensitivity of Upper Ocean Salinity to Global Water Cycle Changes With Unsupervised Learning

2025/07/07 by Chao Liu, Xinfeng Liang, Rui M. Ponte · 1 voice
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · #Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics #Climate variability and models #Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes

paper · pdf · doi:10.1029/2025gl115550

openalex publication_date 2025/07/07 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/05/21

Abstract

Abstract The response of ocean salinity to surface freshwater fluxes exhibits complex spatial and temporal patterns, making it challenging to pinpoint where and when freshwater flux dominates salinity variability. This study uses Gaussian Mixture Modeling, an unsupervised machine learning technique, trained on the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean version 4 ocean state estimate, to classify the spatial and temporal dynamics of upper ocean salinity. On monthly timescales, freshwater flux is the dominant driver of salinity variability in 11% of the global ocean. In an additional 35%, it remains the primary influence but is complemented by a substantial contribution from advection. At annual and longer timescales, the influence of freshwater flux diminishes in most regions but remains dominant in the polar regions, where a strong relationship between salinity and freshwater flux persists. These findings demonstrate how machine learning can uncover complex interactions between salinity and surface fluxes, providing a scalable framework to advance understanding of ocean‐climate interactions.

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